Title | Based on the ARIMA model with grey theory for short term load forecasting model |
Authors | 朱祥和 |
Issue Date | 2012 |
Publisher | Systems and Informatics (ICSAI), 2012 International Conference on |
Keywords | Short term load forecasting ARIMA model Grey model Load modeling |
metadata.dc.description.sponsorship | 无 |
Citation | Systems and Informatics (ICSAI), 2012 International Conference on, 2012. |
Abstract | The load forecasting of power system planning, electricity, scheduling and other departments of the foundation work, power load is influenced by grid for life and reliability is an important factor, In this paper a grid over the past five years the total power load data, the load data analysis and pretreatment, By using ARIMA model and grey GM (1, 1) model for the province's total electricity load is divided in 3 days, 10 days, two cases to make short-term prediction, and compares the advantages and disadvantages of the two methods and accuracy. |
Appears in Collections: | 数学教研室 |